Washington, D.C.: At this moment when US presidential election is only 10 days away, Republican candidate Donald Trump and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris are in a stiff contest. At the outset, Harris trailed in the polls even as she quickly began to gain the public’s approval through advocacy for the issues that matter most, such as women’s right to abortion. Her astorishing campaigning made her gain advantage over competitors in polls but the latest polls suggest this advantage might be diminishing and Trump is slowly clawing his way back up.
Harris was lagging behind Trump when she joined the race on July 21. But her aggressive views on the contentious issues gave her the impetus to take off to the ground almost in a fortnight and was at the top in most of the polls. However, in the recent days, as the Election Day is scheduled for November 5, the new polls might bring Trump massive lead, which pose threat to the Democrats.
Polling Snapshot: How the Tables Have Turned
Three recent polls provide insight into the shifting dynamics of the race:
Ipsos/Reuters Poll (October 15-20): Specifically, 3,307 likely voters were included in this survey with Harris and Trump coming out winners with 48% and 45% respectively. This first poll shown early Harris favorability bounce.
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/GBAO Poll by The Wall Street Journal (October 18-21): Another poll done with 1,500 registered voters other polls finds Trump slightly leading Harris 49% to 46% reversing fortunes for Harris. This result may well portend a change in voter demographics and behaviour as the battle enters the homestretch.
The New York Times/Siena College Poll (October 19-22): These findings drawn from a survey taken with 2516 likely voters reveal very close contest between the two candidates with each having 48% chance of wining the election, meaning the election might be decided in favour of any of the candidates depending on how the voters turn up on the Election Day.
Is there a Trump Victory on the Horizon?
Political experts think that Trump can extend his current lead and approach the teh Election Day results. More to the point, Harris’s approval ratings are in regression not only in national polls but in the swing states indispensable for Democratic electoral success. If Trump is able to win even one or two of these states by a hair’s breadth he will win the presidency.
The failures in swing states do not sit well with Democrats, and Harris has been particularly poor in carrying out her duties in such states. Both candidates are tied at the moment at the national level, and, therefore, the last days of the campaign will be decisive in undecided voters. Killing me softly: Many voters see no reason why the United States should go to the polls on November 5.